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Exhibit 13 In Addition a Regression Analysis Indicates the Following Relationship Between

question 70

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Exhibit 13.1
Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S)
Assume that you are an analyst for the U.S. Autoparts Industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2002 EPS for the U.S. Autoparts Industry:
Personal consumption expendituresPersonal consumption expendituresgrowthIndustry Sales per shareIndustry Operating profit marginIndustry Depreciation/Fixed AssetsIndustry Fixed asset turnoverInterest rateIndustry Total asset turnoverIndustry Debt/Total assetsIndustry Tax ratebeginarrayrYear 2003$6,800 Billion$525endarraybeginarrayrEstimatedYear 20041.5%15%8.25%36%1.245%36%endarray\begin{array}{lrr}\begin{array}{l}\\\\\text{Personal consumption expenditures}\\\text{Personal consumption expenditures}\\ \text{growth}\\\text{Industry Sales per share}\\\text{Industry Operating profit margin}\\\text{Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets}\\\text{Industry Fixed asset turnover}\\\text{Interest rate}\\\text{Industry Total asset turnover}\\\text{Industry Debt/Total assets}\\\text{Industry Tax rate}\\\end{array}\\begin{array}{r}\\\text{Year 2003}\\\hline\text{\$6,800 Billion}\\\\\\ \$ 525 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\end{array}\\begin{array}{r}Estimated\\\text{Year 2004}\\\hline\\ 1.5 \% \\\\\\ 15 \% \\8.25 \% \\3\\6 \% \\1.2 \\45 \% \\36\%\end{array}\\end{array}

In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is
%D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%DPCE)
-Refer to Exhibit 13.1.Estimate the industry growth rate in sales per share.


Definitions:

Return on Total Assets

A profitability ratio measuring how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profit.

Consolidated Financial Statements

Financial statements that integrate all assets, liabilities, equity, income, and expenses of a parent company and its subsidiaries, presenting the financial performance of the entire corporate group as a single entity.

Equity Method

An accounting technique used to record investments in other companies, where the investment is initially recorded at cost and subsequently adjusted to reflect the investor's share of the investee's profits or losses.

Investment Accounts

Accounts held at a financial institution that hold investments such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and ETFs, often for purposes of earning a return.

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