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Transcendent Technologies is deciding between developing a complicated thought-activated software,or a simple voice-activated software.Since the thought-activated software is complicated,it only has a 30% chance of actually going through to a successful launch,but would generate revenues of $50million if launched.The voice-activated software is simple and hence has a 80% chance of being launched but only generates a revenue of $10million.The complicated technology costs 10million,whereas the simple technology costs 2million.
-​Launching the complicated version would be a mistake for probabilities less than ___?


Definitions:

Guarantee

A formal assurance or promise, often by a manufacturer or seller, that certain conditions will be fulfilled, such as the quality or durability of a product.

Indemnity

A financial compensation mechanism for loss or damage, or provision for protection against potential financial liability.

Guarantee

A formal promise or assurance, typically in writing, that certain conditions will be fulfilled, particularly relating to product quality or loan repayment.

Indemnity

Protection or security against financial liability or loss.

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