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Transcendent Technologies is deciding between developing a complicated thought-activated software,or a simple voice-activated software.Since the thought-activated software is complicated,it only has a 30% chance of actually going through to a successful launch,but would generate revenues of $50million if launched.The voice-activated software is simple and hence has a 80% chance of being launched but only generates a revenue of $10million.The complicated technology costs 10million,whereas the simple technology costs 2million.
-​If the simplified version costs $2 million and its probability of success is 75%,whereas the cost of the complicated version is $10million,what is the minimum probability of success for the complicated version that would make the firm indifferent between the two software?


Definitions:

Nonrenewable Resource

A natural resource that cannot be replaced at the same rate it is consumed, such as oil, coal, and natural gas.

Selling Price

The price at which a product or service is sold to customers.

Extraction Cost

The expenses associated with the removal of resources or raw materials from their natural setting.

Optimal Quantity

The amount of a product or service that achieves the best balance between costs and benefits, maximizing utility or profit.

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