A Partially Solved PERT Problem Is Detailed in the Table

question 10

Essay

A partially solved PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks.
$\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|l|}\hline\text { Activity } & \text { Preceding } & \begin{array}{c}\text { Optimistic } \\\text { Time }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Probable } \\\text { Time }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Pessimistic }\\\text { Time }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Expected } \\\text { Time }\end{array} & \text { Variance } \\\hline \mathrm{A} & -- & 7 & 9 & 14 & & 1.361 \\\hline \mathrm{B} & \mathrm{A} & 2 & 2 & 8 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{C} & \mathrm{A} & 8 & 12 & 16 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{D} & \mathrm{A} & 3 & 5 & 10 & & 1.361 \\\hline \mathrm{E} & \mathrm{B} & 4 & 6 & 8 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{F} & \mathrm{B} & 6 & 8 & 10 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{G} & \mathrm{C}, \mathrm{F} & 2 & 3 & 4 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{H} & \mathrm{D} & 2 & 2 & 8 & & 1.000 \\\hline \mathrm{I} & \mathrm{H} & 6 & 8 & 16 & & 2.778 \\\hline \mathrm{J} & \mathrm{G}, \mathrm{I} & 4 & 6 & 14 & & 2.778 \\\hline \mathrm{K} & \mathrm{E}, \mathrm{J} & 2 & 2 & 5 & & 0.250 \\\hline\end{array}$
a. Calculate the expected time for each activity. Enter these values in the appropriate column in the table above.
b. Which activities form the critical path?
c. What is the estimated time of the critical path?
d. What are the project variance and the project standard deviation?
e. What is the probability of completion of the project after week 40?

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Definitions:

Pretend

Act of simulation or feigning; behaving as if something is the case when in fact it is not.

Dysfunctional Conflict

A disagreement or conflict that leads to negative outcomes, disrupting group harmony or individual performance.

Absenteeism

the habitual non-presence of an employee at their job, often without good reason.

Turnover

The rate at which employees leave a company and are replaced by new employees.