The President of State University Wants to Forecast Student Enrollments

question 53

Multiple Choice

The president of State University wants to forecast student enrollments for this academic year based on the following historical data: $$\begin{array} { | c | c | } \hline \text { Year } & \text { Enrollments } \\\hline \text { 5 Years ago } & 15,000 \\\hline \text { 4 Years ago } & 16,000 \\\hline \text { 3 Years ago } & 18,000 \\\hline \text { 2 Years ago } & 20,000 \\\hline \text { Last Year } & 21,000 \\\hline\end{array}$$
What is the forecast for this year using trend-adjusted (double) smoothing with alpha = .05 and beta = .3, if the forecast for last year was 21,000, the forecast for two years ago was 19,000, and the trend estimate for last year's forecast was 1,500?

• A) 18,750
• B) 19,500
• C) 21,000
• D) 22,650
• E) 22,800

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Definitions:

Cost of Capital

The rate of return that a company must earn on its investment projects to maintain its market value and attract funds.

Rate of Return

The gain or loss on an investment over a specified period, expressed as a percentage of the investment's cost.

Capital Project

A long-term, capital-intensive investment project with a purpose to build upon, add to, or improve a capital asset.

Gross Profit Method

An inventory estimation technique that calculates cost of goods sold and ending inventory based on the gross profit margin.