Assume That You Expect to Hold a $40,000 Investment for One

question 81

Multiple Choice

Assume that you expect to hold a $40,000 investment for one year.It is forecasted to have a year end value of $42,000 with a 30% probability; a year end value of $48,000 with a 45% probability; and a year end value of $60,000 with a 25% probability.What is the expected holding period return for this investment?

• A) 50%
• B) 25%
• C) 23%
• D) 18%

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Definitions:

Cyclical Stock

Equities whose prices are affected by macroeconomic, systemic changes in the economy, often correlated with economic cycles of expansion and recession.

Boom Economy

A period of significant economic growth, high employment, and increasing wealth.

Recessionary Period

A time of economic decline during which trade and industrial activity are reduced, generally identified by a fall in GDP in two successive quarters.

Standard Deviation

A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean, indicating how spread out the data points are.