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Instruments Denominated in Different Currencies Are Perfect Substitutes for One

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Instruments denominated in different currencies are perfect substitutes for one another.
Empirical studies of the efficient foreign exchange market hypothesis have yielded conflicting results. Nevertheless, a consensus is developing that rejects the efficient market hypothesis. It appears that the forward rate is not an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate and that it does pay to use resources to attempt to forecast exchange rates.


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