Some Forecasters Believe That Foreign Exchange Markets for the Major

question 53

Essay

Some forecasters believe that foreign exchange markets for the major floating currencies are "efficient" and forward exchange rates are unbiased predictors of future spot exchange rates. Explain the rationale of this statement including the assumptions made, the meaning of "efficient" and "unbiased," and the empirical evidence.

---

Definitions:

Malthusian Trap

A situation where population growth outpaces agricultural production, leading to famine, disease, and war.

Poor

Refers to the state of having insufficient financial resources or wealth.

Food

Nutritive material consumed by living organisms to sustain life and growth.

Malthusian Trap

A theory suggesting that population growth tends to outpace agricultural production, leading to periodic starvation, poverty, and population decline.