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Using data from the previous problem,calculate the monthly forecast for 2003 using simple exponential smoothing with an α = .2.Calculate the MAD and the tracking signal.How does this forecast compare with the previous one?
Relevant Risk
The portion of an investment's risk that cannot be eliminated through diversification, also known as systematic or market risk.
Market Portfolio
A theoretical portfolio of all assets in the market, with each asset weighted according to its market capitalization.
Efficient Frontier
A concept in modern portfolio theory which represents a set of optimal portfolios that provide the highest expected return for a defined level of risk or the lowest risk for a given level of expected return.
Indifference Curve
A curve connecting all portfolios with the same utility according to their means and standard deviations.
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