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In 1948,the Chicago Daily Tribune Wrongly Predicted That Republican Thomas

question 59

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In 1948,the Chicago Daily Tribune wrongly predicted that Republican Thomas E.Dewey would beat incumbent President Harry S.Truman.Knowing what you know about the accuracy of various polls,what kind of poll would most likely have led the Tribune to make this erroneous prediction?


Definitions:

Fertility

The natural capability to produce offspring, often measured by the number of births per population, per year.

Malthusian

Relating to the theory proposed by Thomas Malthus that population growth inevitably outpaces food production and resource availability, leading to societal collapse unless checked by moral restraint or disaster.

Preventive Measures

Actions or strategies taken in advance to reduce the risk of harm or to prevent undesirable outcomes.

Demography

The scientific study of populations, including their sizes, compositions, distributions, and how these change over time.

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