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The rational expectations hypothesis implies that when macroeconomic policy changes
Standard Deviation
Square root of the weighted average of the squares of the deviations of the payoffs associated with each outcome from their expected values.
Over-precision
A cognitive bias causing someone to be too confident in their own judgments and decisions.
Predict Outcomes
The process of forecasting the possible results of a particular situation or decision.
Unrealistic Belief
A conviction or perception not supported by evidence or reality, often overly optimistic or pessimistic about potential outcomes.
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