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A regression specification must include
Disinflation
A decrease in the rate of inflation, indicating a slowdown in the rate at which prices for goods and services increase.
Rate of Inflation
The rise in the average cost of goods and services across an economy over a specific period.
Recessions
Periods of economic downturn when output and employment are falling, typically defined as two consecutive quarters of declining gross domestic product.
Consumer Price Index
An index that calculates the overall average price of a range of consumer goods and services, which includes transportation, food, and healthcare provisions.
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