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Some Forecasters Believe That Foreign Exchange Markets for the Major

question 42

Essay

Some forecasters believe that foreign exchange markets for the major floating currencies are "efficient" and forward exchange rates are unbiased predictors of future spot exchange rates. What are the three conditions of market efficiency as defined by the authors? What is implied by the term unbiased predictors? What does the empirical evidence have to say about the forward rate as an unbiased predictor of future spot rates?


Definitions:

Approaching Doom

A heightened sense of impending disaster or catastrophic threat, often accompanying anxiety and panic disorders.

Irrational Assumptions

Beliefs that are not based on logic or evidence, often leading to negative effects on mental health.

Meta-worries

Worrying about worry itself, a concept often involved in generalized anxiety disorder where individuals may become anxious about their tendency to worry excessively.

Cognitive-behavioral Perspective

A therapeutic approach that focuses on changing maladaptive thinking patterns, beliefs, and behaviors in order to affect positive changes in mood and functioning.

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