Although Hal Did Not Win the Drawing for the Statewide

question 92

Multiple Choice

Although Hal did not win the drawing for the statewide lottery, which sells thousands of tickets, he is much more confident of winning the drawing for the nationwide lottery, which sells millions of tickets. The reason is that whereas he bought just one ticket for the statewide game, he bought ten tickets for the nationwide one. Hal's reasoning is an example of

• A) representativeness.
• B) a self-serving bias.
• C) the ratio bias effect.
• D) the gambler's fallacy.
• E) fundamental attribution error.

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