THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION

question 33

Essay

THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x₁)and the interest rate (x₂).She proposes the model y = β₀ + β₁x₁ + β₂x₂ + β₃x₁x₃ + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below.
THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS
y = 115.6 + 22.3x₁ + 14.7x₂ - 1.36x₁x₂

S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4%
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE

-An economist estimates the regression model y_i= β₀ + β₁x_1i + β₂x_2i + ε_i.The estimates of the parameters β₁ and β₂ are not very large compared with their respective standard errors.But the size of the coefficient of determination indicates quite a strong relationship between the dependent variable and the pair of independent variables.Having obtained these results,the economist strongly suspects the presence of multicollinearity.Since his chief interest is in the influence of X₁ on the dependent variable,he decides that he will avoid the problem of multicollinearity by regressing Y on X₁ alone.Comment on this strategy.

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