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Exhibit 9-1
a Farmer Must Decide Whether to Take Protective

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Essay

Exhibit 9-1
A farmer must decide whether to take protective action to limit damage to his grapefruit crop in the event that the overnight temperature falls to a level well below freezing. If the temperature drops too low he runs the risk of losing his entire crop, valued at $75,000. Based on the National Weather Service, the probability of such a temperature drop is 60%. He can insulate his crop by spraying water on all the trees, which will cost $20,000. This action might succeed in protecting the crop, with the following  Probability  Damage 0.30$00.15$5,0000.10$10,0000.15$15,0000.30$20,000\begin{array} { l l } \text { Probability } & \text { Damage } \\0.30 & \$ 0 \\0.15 & \$ 5,000 \\0.10 & \$ 10,000 \\0.15 & \$ 15,000 \\0.30 & \$ 20,000\end{array}
-Refer to Exhibit 9-1.Suppose the farmer is uncertain about the reliability of the National Weather Service forecast.If he thinks the probability of a freeze occurring could be anywhere between 40% and 80%,would that change his decision


Definitions:

Ionic Compound

A chemical compound composed of ions held together by electrostatic forces termed ionic bonding.

Polar Nature

A characteristic of molecules that have an uneven distribution of electron density, resulting in regions of partial positive and negative charge which makes them interact with other polar substances including water.

Attractive Forces

Forces that cause atoms, ions, or molecules to come together, and include various types of chemical bonds and intermolecular interactions.

Solute Particle

Solute particles are the dissolved particles in a solution that interact with the solvent to form a homogeneous mixture.

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