Examlex
What is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an event once that outcome is actually known?
Probability
The measure of the likelihood that an event will occur, quantified as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.
Return Percentage
The amount of gain or loss on an investment over a specified period, presented as a percentage of the investment's initial cost.
Market Risk Premium
The additional return expected by investors for taking on the risk of investing in the stock market over a risk-free rate.
Risk-Free Rate
The theoretical rate of return of an investment with no risk of financial loss, often represented by government bonds.
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