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The Following Is an Example of a Credit Scoring Model

question 56

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I:

Pi = 0.25DSRi + 0.17IRi - 0.03 INVRi + 0.84VAREXi + 0.93 MGi

Where Pi is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt;DSR is the country's debt service ratio;IR is the country's import ratio;INVR is the country's investment ratio;VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue;and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply.

What is an important determinant of rescheduling probability if inflation is a prime concern?


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