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The Following Is an Example of a Credit Scoring Model

question 67

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I: Pi = 0.25 DSRi + 0.17 IRi - 0.03 INVRi + 0.84 VAREXi + 0.93 MGi
Where Piis the probability of rescheduling country I's debt; DSR is the country's debt service ratio; IR is the country's import ratio; INVR is the country's investment ratio; VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue; and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply.
According to this model, An FI would be most likely to lend to a country with


Definitions:

Inflation Rate

The percentage increase in the price level of goods and services in an economy over a period of time, reflecting a reduction in purchasing power.

Consumer Price Index

An indicator quantifying the mean variation over periods in the financial commitments urban consumers make towards a particular set of consumer goods and services.

Basket of Goods

A fixed set of consumer products and services whose price is monitored over time to calculate inflation through the Consumer Price Index.

Inflation Rate

The rate at which prices for a wide range of goods and services go up, causing a decline in how much can be bought with the same amount of money.

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