You Flip a Coin Ten Times in a Row

question 177

Multiple Choice

You flip a coin ten times in a row. Every single time it comes up heads. On the eleventh flip, is it more likely to be heads, tails, or are heads and tails equally likely? If you are a hot hand player, you will answer ____.

• A) heads
• B) tails
• C) heads and tails are equally likely
• D) that you need time to think it over

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Definitions:

Discontinuity Effect

The phenomenon where groups are more likely to engage in extreme or aggressive behavior compared to individuals acting alone.

Hostile Competition

A form of rivalry where participants engage in aggressive behaviors and tactics to win or outperform each other.

Rationalization

the process of justifying behaviors or attitudes with logical, plausible reasons, even if these are not the true underlying motivations.

Political Goals

Objectives set by individuals or groups related to governing, influencing policy, or achieving power within a political framework.