Your Classmates from the University of Chicago Are Planning to Go

question 2

Multiple Choice

Your classmates from the University of Chicago are planning to go to Miami for spring break, and you are undecided about whether you should go with them. The round-trip airfares are $600, but you have a frequent-flyer coupon worth $500 that you could use to pay part of the airfare. All other costs for the vacation are exactly $900. The most you would be willing to pay for the trip is $1400. Your only alternative use for your frequent-flyer coupon is for your trip to Atlanta two weeks after the break to attend your sister's graduation, which your parents are forcing you to attend. The Chicago-Atlanta round-trip airfares are $450. If the Chicago-Atlanta round-trip air fare were $350, should you use the coupon to go to Miami?

• A)No, your economic surplus would be -$50.
• B)No, your economic surplus would be -$100.
• C)Yes, your economic surplus would be $50.
• D)Yes, your economic surplus would be $400.

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Definitions:

Crystal Ball

A predictive analytics software offering risk analysis, simulation, and forecasting functionalities, often used for project management and financial forecasting.

Monte Carlo Simulation

A computational technique that uses random sampling to approximate the probability of various outcomes in a process.

Random Values

Numbers or outcomes generated in a manner that follows no discernible pattern, often used in simulations or statistical sampling.

Uncertain Inputs

Factors or variables in a model or process that have unknown or unpredictable values, affecting outcomes and decision-making.