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Consider Two Firms with One-Year Probabilities of Default Of p1=0.10p _ { 1 } = 0.10

question 9

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Consider two firms with one-year probabilities of default of p1=0.10p _ { 1 } = 0.10 and p2=0.05p _ { 2 } = 0.05 ,respectively.The correlation of default of the two firms is ρ=0.5\rho = 0.5 .What is the conditional probability of default Pr[D2D1]\operatorname { Pr } \left[ D _ { 2 } \mid D _ { 1 } \right] ?

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