Ashley,has Discovered Another Wine, Wine D

question 1

Multiple Choice

Ashley,has discovered another wine, wine D.Wine drinkers are willing to pay 60 dollars to drink it right now.The amount that wine drinkers are willing to pay will rise by 15 dollars each year that the wine ages.The interest rate is 10%.How much would Ashley be willing to pay for the wine if he buys it as an investment? (Pick the closest answer.)

• A)84 dollars
• B)150 dollars
• C)60 dollars
• D)660 dollars
• E)86 dollars

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Definitions:

Hindsight Bias

The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it, also known as the "knew-it-all-along" effect.

Timing Bias

A form of cognitive bias where an individual's decisions or perceptions are influenced by the timing of information or events.

Base Rate Neglect

The tendency to ignore information about general principles in favor of very specific but vivid information.

Bonferroni Inequalities

Statistical safeguards used to reduce the chances of making incorrect inferences when multiple hypothesis tests are being performed simultaneously.