If There Are 1,000 People, Each of Whom Owns a $100,000

question 49

Essay

If there are 1,000 people, each of whom owns a $100,000 house, and they each stand a 1/1,000 chance each year of suffering a fire that will totally destroy their house, what is the minimum that they would have to pay annually for fire insurance?
E.L.= 0.001($100,000) + 0.999($0) = $100.00.Since the expected loss for each individual is $100 per year, the minimum that each would have to pay is $100.00 a year, in fact, given the probability of 1 in a 1000 homeowners in this group suffering a fire each year, at $100 each, on average, there should be just enough to compensate the person suffering the fire.

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Definitions:

Surveys

Research methods involving the collection of data from a sample of individuals through their responses to questions.

Subjective

Influenced by personal feelings, tastes, or opinions.

Serendipity

The occurrence of events by chance in a happy or beneficial way, often leading to unexpected and serendipitous discoveries.

Generalizability

The extent to which findings or conclusions drawn from a specific study or sample can be applied to broader populations or situations.