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(Abandonment Option)Hit or Miss Sports is introducing a new product this year.If its see-at-night soccer balls are a hit,the firm expects to be able to sell 50,000 units a year at a price of $60 each.If the new product is a bust,only 30,000 units can be sold at a price of $55.The variable cost of each ball is $30,and fixed costs are zero.The cost of the manufacturing equipment is $6 million,and the project life is estimated at 10 years.The firm will use straight-line depreciation over the 10-year life of the project.The firm's tax rate is 35% and the discount rate is 12%.
a.If each outcome is equally likely,what is expected NPV? Will the firm accept the project?
b.Suppose now that the firm can abandon the project and sell off the manufacturing equipment for $5.4 million if demand for the balls turns out to be weak.The firm will make the decision to continue or abandon after the first year of sales.Does the option to abandon change the firm's decision to accept the project?
Aggressive Individuals
Refers to persons who exhibit behavior that is forceful, assertive, or intended to dominate.
Derogation of Target Bias
A cognitive bias in which individuals devalue a target or outcome once it becomes unattainable, often to reduce cognitive dissonance.
Intellectual Incompetence
A state or condition wherein an individual lacks the necessary cognitive skills or knowledge to understand or address specific issues effectively.
Hostile Attribution Bias
The habit of interpreting the conduct of others as aggressive, regardless of whether such conduct is vague or innocent.
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