A Random Walk Model Can More Accurately Predict Exchange Rates

question 26

Multiple Choice

A random walk model can more accurately predict exchange rates as compared to a sophisticated forecast

• A) always.
• B) for forecasts up to a year away.
• C) for forecasts longer than a year away.
• D) never.
• E) because of the predictability of exchange rates.

---

Definitions:

Risk Premium

The additional return expected by an investor for taking on a higher risk compared to a risk-free asset.

Total Risk

The complete range of uncertainties including market, credit, liquidity, and operational risks that can affect the performance and valuation of investments.

Portfolio Concentration

The over-representation of a particular asset class, sector, or stock within an investment portfolio, leading to heightened risk.

Treasury Bills

Short-term government securities issued at a discount from the face value and mature in a year or less, representing a secure investment.