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GenLabs Has Been a Hot Stock the Last Few Years

question 72

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GenLabs has been a hot stock the last few years, but is risky. The expected returns for GenLabs are highly dependent on the state of the economy as follows:
 State of Economy  Probability  GenLabs Returns  Depression .0550% Recession .1015% Mild Slowdown .205% Normal .3015% Broad Expansion .2025% Strong Expansion .1540%\begin{array} { l l l } \underline{\text { State of Economy }} & \underline{\text { Probability }} & \underline{ \text { GenLabs Returns } }\\ \text { Depression } & . \mathbf { 0 5 } & \mathbf { - 5 0 \% } \\\text { Recession } & .10 & \mathbf { - 1 5 \% } \\\text { Mild Slowdown } & .20 & \mathbf { 5 \% } \\\text { Normal } & .30 & \mathbf { 1 5 \% } \\\text { Broad Expansion } & .20 & \mathbf { 2 5 } \% \\\text { Strong Expansion } & .15 & \mathbf { 4 0 \% }\end{array}
-The variance of GenLabs returns is:


Definitions:

Income From Operations

The profit realized from a business's ongoing, core business activities, excluding deductions of interest and taxes.

Invested Assets

Resources or funds committed to investments in securities, real estate, or other vehicles with the expectation of earning returns.

Negotiated Price

The final price agreed upon by both the buyer and the seller after a process of negotiation, which may involve discounts or modifications from the original price.

Decentralized Units

Operational segments of a larger organization that operate semi-independently, often with their own decision-making authority.

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