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Your Friend Is the Owner of a Stock Which Had

question 95

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Your friend is the owner of a stock which had returns of 25 percent, -36 percent, 1 percent, and 16 percent for the past three years. Your friend thinks the stock may be able to achieve a return of 50 percent or more in a single year. Based on these returns, what is the probability that your friend is correct?


Definitions:

Incarnation

The embodiment of a deity or spirit in some earthly form, particularly used in the context of the belief in Jesus Christ as God made flesh.

Holy Spirit

In Christianity, the third person of the Holy Trinity, considered the spirit of God active in the world, inspiring and guiding believers.

Immanence Of God

The concept that God is present and active within the creation and the universe, transcending yet being within all things.

Deist Conception

The belief in a God who created the universe but does not intervene in it or alter its laws with supernatural events.

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