A Bank Has Three Uncollateralized Transactions with a Counterparty Worth

question 10

Multiple Choice

A bank has three uncollateralized transactions with a counterparty worth +$10 million,−$20 million and +$25 million.A netting agreement is in place.What is the maximum loss if the counterparty defaults today.

• A) $15 million
• B) $35 million
• C) $20 million
• D) Zero

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Definitions:

Confirmation Error

The tendency to seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms one's preconceptions or hypotheses, overlooking contradictory evidence.

Availability Bias

A cognitive bias that causes people to overestimate the likelihood of events based on their recall of immediate examples.

Representativeness Bias

A cognitive bias in decision-making where individuals judge probabilities or make judgments based on how much one thing resembles another, often leading to errors in assessment.

Conjunction Fallacy

A logical error where people wrongly assume that specific conditions are more probable than a single general one.