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You Are Using an Exponential Smoothing Model for Forecasting

question 86

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You are using an exponential smoothing model for forecasting.The running sum of the forecast error statistics (RSFE) are calculated each time a forecast is generated.You find the last RSFE to be 34.Originally, the forecasting model used was selected because of its relatively low MAD of 0.4.To determine when it is time to re-evaluate the usefulness of the exponential smoothing model, you compute tracking signals.Which of the following is the resulting tracking signal?


Definitions:

Acute Self-Consciousness

An intense awareness of oneself, often accompanied by feelings of scrutiny and evaluation by others.

Analytic Thought

A cognitive process focused on breaking down complex information into smaller components for easier understanding and problem-solving.

Intuitive Thought

A way of thinking that relies on instinctive feeling rather than conscious reasoning or evidence.

Body Dissatisfaction

A negative perception of one's own body image, often leading to psychological distress and can influence the development of eating disorders.

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