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Carl Is the Only Person from New Zealand That Craig

question 27

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Carl is the only person from New Zealand that Craig has ever met.Carl strikes Craig as being quite friendly and funny.When Carl asks Craig what he would expect to find if he went to New Zealand,Craig says that he would expect the people to be quite friendly and funny.What might Craig have used to make this judgment?


Definitions:

Marginal Probability

The probability of a single event occurring without consideration of any other events, typically found in the context of probability distributions.

V(X + Y)

The variance of the sum of two random variables, reflecting the spread or variability of their combined distribution.

Probability Distribution

A mathematical description of the likelihood of occurrence of different possible outcomes in an experiment.

Random Variable

A variable whose outcomes are determined by a random phenomenon or process.

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