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The Following Is an Example of a Credit Scoring Model

question 56

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I:

Pi = 0.25DSRi + 0.17IRi - 0.03 INVRi + 0.84VAREXi + 0.93 MGi

Where Pi is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt;DSR is the country's debt service ratio;IR is the country's import ratio;INVR is the country's investment ratio;VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue;and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply.

What is an important determinant of rescheduling probability if inflation is a prime concern?


Definitions:

Sanction

Measures taken by countries or international bodies to penalize others for certain behaviors or actions, often involving trade restrictions or economic penalties.

Social Control

Mechanisms, strategies, and institutions by which societies attempt to regulate individual behavior to maintain order and conformity.

Evolutionary Psychology

A theoretical approach in the social and natural sciences that examines psychological structure from a modern evolutionary perspective.

Sociobiology

A branch of biology that explains social behavior in all species by considering evolutionary advantages and genetics.

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