The Following Is an Example of a Credit Scoring Model

question 39

Multiple Choice

The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I:

P_i = 0.25DSR_i + 0.17IR_i - 0.03 INVR_i + 0.84VAREX_i + 0.93 MG_i

Where P_i is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt;DSR is the country's debt service ratio;IR is the country's import ratio;INVR is the country's investment ratio;VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue;and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply.

According to this model,An FI would be most likely to lend to a country with

• A)a low debt service ratio.
• B)a high import ratio.
• C)a high investment ratio.
• D)a low variance of export revenue.

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Definitions:

Present Value

The present value of a sum of money or series of cash flows expected in the future, discounted at a certain rate of return.

Amortized Loan

A loan repaid in equal periodic amounts (or “killed off” over time).

Repayment Of Principal

The process of paying back the original amount borrowed in a loan, excluding any interest charges.

Effective Annual Return

The interest rate on an investment on an annual basis, accounting for the effect of compounding more than once per year.