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One Local Hospital Has Just Enough Space and Funds Currently

question 75

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One local hospital has just enough space and funds currently available to start either a cancer or heart research lab. If administration decides on the cancer lab, there is a 20 percent chance of getting $100,000 in outside funding from the American Cancer Society next year, and an 80 percent chance of getting nothing. If the cancer research lab is funded the first year, no additional outside funding will be available the second year. However, if it is not funded the first year, then management estimates the chances are 50 percent it will get $100,000 the following year, and 50 percent that it will get nothing again. If, however, the hospital's management decides to go with the heart lab, then there is a 50 percent chance of getting $50,000 in outside funding from the American Heart Association the first year and a 50 percent change of getting nothing. If the heart lab is funded the first year, management estimates a 40 percent chance of getting another $50,000 and a 60 percent chance of getting nothing additional the second year. If it is not funded the first year, then management estimates a 60 percent chance for getting $50,000 and a 40 percent chance for getting nothing in the following year. For both the cancer and heart research labs, no further possible funding is anticipated beyond the first two years. What is the expected value for the decision alternative to select the heart lab?


Definitions:

Measurable Behaviors

Observable and quantifiable actions or responses that can be empirically assessed or evaluated.

Unconscious Conflicts

Internal struggles, often stemming from childhood, that are not within an individual's conscious awareness but influence emotions and behavior, a concept rooted in psychoanalytic theory.

Extinction

In psychology, the gradual weakening and disappearance of a conditioned response, typically when the conditioned stimulus is no longer paired with the unconditioned stimulus.

Removal

The act of taking something away or off from the position occupied.

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