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The President of State University Wants to Forecast Student Enrollments

question 48

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The president of State University wants to forecast student enrollments for this academic year based on the following historical data:  Year  Enrollments  5 years ago 15,0004 years ago 16,000 3 years ago 18,0002 years ago 20,000 Last year 21,000\begin{array} { l l } \text { Year } & \text { Enrollments } \\\hline \text { 5 years ago } & 15,000 \\4 \text { years ago } & 16,000 \\\text { 3 years ago } & 18,000 \\2 \text { years ago } & 20,000 \\\text { Last year } & 21,000\end{array} What is the forecast for this year using the naive approach?


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