The President of State University Wants to Forecast Student Enrollments

question 128

Multiple Choice

The president of State University wants to forecast student enrollments for this academic year based on the following historical data: $$\begin{array} { l l } \text { Year } & \text { Enrollments } \\\hline \text { 5 years ago } & 15,000 \\4 \text { years ago } & 16,000 \\\text { 3 years ago } & 18,000 \\2 \text { years ago } & 20,000 \\\text { Last year } & 21,000\end{array}$$ What is the forecast for this year using trend-adjusted (double) smoothing with alpha = .05 and beta = .3, if the forecast for last year was 21,000, the forecast for two years ago was 19,000, and the trend estimate for last year's forecast was 1,500?

• A) 18,750
• B) 19,500
• C) 21,000
• D) 22,650
• E) 22,800

---

Definitions:

Producer Surplus

The difference between what producers are willing to accept for a good or service versus what they actually receive.

Profit Sharing

An incentive program that grants employees a share in the company's profits as part of their compensation.

Expected Profits

The anticipated financial gain from an investment or business activity, calculated by multiplying possible outcomes by their probabilities and summing the results.

Cost Function

Function relating cost of production to level of output and other variables that the firm can control.