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Data on Demand Over the Last Few Years Are Available

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Data on demand over the last few years are available as follows:  Time Period  Demand 7 years ago 76 years ago 28 5 years ago 21 4 years ago 42 3 years ago 35 2 years ago 56 Last year 49\begin{array} { l l } \text { Time Period } & \text { Demand } \\\hline 7 \text { years ago } & 7 \\6 \text { years ago } & 28 \\\text { 5 years ago } & 21 \\\text { 4 years ago } & 42 \\\text { 3 years ago } & 35 \\\text { 2 years ago } & 56 \\\text { Last year } & 49\end{array} What is this year's forecast using a four-year simple moving average?

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Definitions:

Mean

The average of a set of numbers, calculated by dividing the sum of all the numbers by the count of numbers.

Standard Error

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of a statistic, most commonly the mean; it is used to estimate the efficiency, accuracy, or precision of a sample-based estimate.

Sample Mean

The average value of a sample set of numbers, calculated by adding all the values together and dividing by the number of values.

Sampling Distribution

The probability distribution of a statistic based on a large number of samples or replicates.

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