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A village has five residents,each of whom has accumulated savings of $50.Each villager can use the money to buy a government bond that pays 10% interest per year or to buy a year-old goat,send it onto the commons to graze,and sell it after one year.The price of the goat that the villager will get at the end of the year depends on the amount of weight it gains while grazing on the commons,which in turn depends on the number of goats sent onto the commons,as shown in table below.
Refer to the information given above.Suppose a village elder decides the total number of goats and bonds with the goal of maximizing total village income.The village income will be _______.
Real Option
The ability to take a course of action that under certain circumstances leads to a benefit. The circumstances that make the action desirable are uncertain, and maintaining the ability to take it requires expenditures before that uncertainty is resolved. Hence, bearing the preliminary cost gives one the option of taking an action in the future that may or may not turn out to be desirable.
Expected NPV
The anticipated Net Present Value of an investment, which estimates the project's profitability by discounting future cash flows to their present value.
Project Outcomes
The results or impacts of a project after its completion, including success, failure, or mixed results.
Sensitivity/Scenario Analysis
Techniques used in financial modeling to examine how different values of an input variable can impact a project or investment's outcome under various scenarios.
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