Why Is Forecasting GDP in the Long Run So Difficult

question 47

Multiple Choice

Why is forecasting GDP in the long run so difficult?

• A) There is no expertise in forecasting the long run trend in real GDP.
• B) There is no regularity in the frequency and amplitude of fluctuations in real GDP.
• C) These is an absence of data that provides any information on future trends.
• D) Current models are not sophisticated enough to conduct this exercise.
• E) Structural and statistical forecasting provide differing results.

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Definitions:

Work Effect

The impact on labor supply and productivity due to changes in economic policies or conditions.

Basic Assumption

An underlying principle or idea that is accepted as true without proof, forming the basis for further reasoning or behavior.

Level Of Investment

The amount of spending by businesses on capital goods, such as factories and machinery, which can influence economic growth.

Keynes

Refers to John Maynard Keynes, an economist famous for his ideas that in times of low demand, public sector investments are critical to economic stability and growth.