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Texas Wildcatters Inc

question 6

Multiple Choice

Texas Wildcatters Inc.(TWI) is in the business of finding and developing oil properties and then selling the successful ones to major oil refining companies.TWI is now considering a new potential field,and its geologists have developed the following data,in thousands of dollars.t = 0.A $400 feasibility study would be conducted at t = 0.The results of this study would determine if the company should commence drilling operations or make no further investment and abandon the project.t = 1.If the feasibility study indicates good potential,the firm would spend $1,000 at t = 1 to drill exploratory wells.The best estimate is that there is an 80% probability that the exploratory wells would indicate good potential and thus that further work would be done,and a 20% probability that the outlook would look bad and the project would be abandoned.t = 2.If the exploratory wells test positive,TWI would go ahead and spend $10,000 to obtain an accurate estimate of the amount of oil in the field at t = 2.The best estimate now is that there is a 60% probability that the results would be very good and a 40% probability that results would be poor and the field would be abandoned.t = 3.If the full drilling program is carried out,there is a 50% probability of finding a lot of oil and receiving a $25,000 cash inflow at t = 3,and a 50% probability of finding less oil and then receiving only a $10,000 inflow.Since the project is considered to be quite risky,a 20% cost of capital is used.What is the project's expected NPV,in thousands of dollars?

Understand the use of search features to locate specific files or file types.

Comprehend the functionalities available on the properties dialog boxes for files, folders, and drives.

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Definitions:

Independent Events

Two or more events where the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other(s).

Event Will Not Occur

The probability that a specific event does not happen, which can be calculated by subtracting the event’s probability of occurring from 1.

Conditional Probability

The likelihood of one event happening after another event has already taken place.

Independent Events

Events whose occurrence or outcome is not influenced by one another; the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of another.