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The Head of Operations for a Movie Studio Wants to Determine

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The head of operations for a movie studio wants to determine which of two new scripts they should select for their next major production.She feels that script #1 has a 70% chance of earning $100 million over the long run,but a 30% chance of losing $20 million.If this movie is successful,then a sequel could also be produced,with an 80% chance of earning $50 million,but a 20% chance of losing $10 million.On the other hand,she feels that script #2 has a 60 % chance of earning $120 million,but a 40% chance of losing $30 million.If successful,its sequel would have a 50% chance of earning $80 million and a 50% chance of losing $40 million.As with the first script,if the original movie is a "flop",then no sequel would be produced.
-What is the expected payoff from selecting script #2?


Definitions:

Null Hypothesis

The default assumption that there is no significant difference or effect, serving as the claim that the study seeks to test or refute.

F-ratio

A statistical measure used in the analysis of variance (ANOVA) to compare the variance between groups with the variance within groups.

F-ratio

A statistical measure used in the analysis of variance (ANOVA) to determine the ratio of variance between groups to the variance within groups.

Null Hypothesis

The default hypothesis that there is no significant difference or relationship between specified populations, any observed effect is due to sampling or experimental error.

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