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Consider the Following Problem with Four States of Nature,three Decision

question 27

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Consider the following problem with four states of nature,three decision alternatives,and the following payoff table (in $'s): s1s2s3s4d120026001400200d20200200200d32004000200\begin{array} { l | c c c c } & s _ { 1 } & s _ { 2 } & s _ { 3 } & s _ { 4 } \\\hline d _ { 1 } & 200 & 2600 & - 1400 & 200 \\d _ { 2 } & 0 & 200 & - 200 & 200 \\d _ { 3 } & - 200 & 400 & 0 & 200\end{array} The indifference probabilities for three individuals are:  Payoff  Person 1  Person 2  Person 3 $26001.001.001.00$400.40.45.55$200.35.40.50$0.30.35.45$200.25.30.40$1400000\begin{array} { r c c c } \text { Payoff } & \text { Person 1 } & \text { Person 2 } & \text { Person 3 } \\\hline\$ 2600 & 1.00 & 1.00 & 1.00 \\\$ 400 & .40 & .45 & .55 \\\$ 200 & .35 & .40 & .50 \\\$ 0 & .30 & .35 & .45 \\- \$ 200 & .25 & .30 & .40 \\- \$ 1400 & 0 & 0 & 0\end{array}
a. Classify each person as a risk avoider, risk taker, or risk neutral.
b. For the payoff of $400, what is the premium the risk avoider will pay to avoid risk? What is the premium the risk taker will pay to have the opportunity of the high payoff?
c. Suppose each state is equally likely. What are the optimal decisions for each of these three people?

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A segment within a manufacturing facility where machining processes such as cutting, drilling, or shaping materials are carried out.

Overhead Applied

The amount of overhead costs allocated to the production of goods or services, often based on a predetermined overhead rate.

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