Consider the Following Discrete Probability Distributions of Payoffs for 3

question 37

Multiple Choice

Consider the following discrete probability distributions of payoffs for 3 securities that are held in a DI's trading portfolio (payoff amounts shown are in $millions) : $$\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline \text { SECURITY } & \text { PROBABILITY } & \text { PAYOFF } \\\hline \text { Alpha } & 0.50 & 355 \\\hline & 0.49 & 150 \\\hline & 0.01 & - 300 \\\hline\end{array}$$ $$\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline \text { SECURITY } & \text { PROBABILITY } & \text { PAYOFF } \\\hline \text { Beta } & 0.50 & 400 \\\hline & 0.49 & 150 \\\hline & 0.0025 & - 300 \\\hline & 0.0075 & - 3,300 \\\hline\end{array}$$ $$\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline \text { SECURITY } & \text { PROBABILITY } & \text { PAYOFF } \\\hline \text { Gamma } & 0.49 & 400 \\\hline & 0.49 & 150 \\\hline & 0.01 & - 150 \\\hline & 0.01 & - 2,000 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-What is the expected shortfall (ES) of securities Alpha and Beta at the 99 percent confidence level, respectively (in millions) ?

• A)-$300 and -$3,300
• B)-$3 and -$24.75
• C)-$3 and -$25.50
• D)-$300 and -$300
• E)-$ and -$0.75.

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