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Suppose You Are Interested in Explaining Variation in Monthly Ice

question 20

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Suppose you are interested in explaining variation in monthly Ice Cream consumption (thousands of gallons)and that you estimate the regression function (standard errors in parentheses)  Ice Crea^mt=247.93+12.22 Income t+217.39 Average Temperature t(98.62)(4.35)(81.63)n=192R2=.9287\begin{array} { llll } \text { Ice } \widehat { Crea}m _ { t } = &247.93 +& 12.22 \text { Income } _ { t } + &217.39 \text { Average Temperature } _ { t } \\& (98.62) &(4.35) & (81.63) \\n = 192 \\R ^ { 2 } = .9287 \\\end{array}
a)How many years' worth of data do you have? How can you tell? Explain.
b)Do you suspect that autocorrelation might be present in this model? If so,what type? Why? Explain.
c)How would you use the Durbin-Watson test to determine whether autocorrelation is present? Explain.What type of autoregressive process does the Durbin-Watson test work for?
d)Suppose you know that the autocorrelation follows an AR(1)process.How would you use the Cochrane-Orcutt method to correct for the autocorrelation? Explain.
e)When using the Cochrane-Orcutt method,how many observations will you have in your final analysis? Why? Explain.


Definitions:

Flotation Costs

The costs associated with issuing new securities, including underwriting fees, legal fees, and registration fees.

After-Tax Cash Inflows

After-tax cash inflows represent the net cash a company receives from its operations, investments, or financial activities, after all taxes have been deducted.

Flotation Cost

The total costs a company incurs when it issues new securities, including underwriting fees, legal fees, and registration fees.

Debt-Equity Ratio

Debt-equity ratio is a financial ratio indicating the relative proportion of shareholders’ equity and debt used to finance a company’s assets.

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