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Messenger Service ​ Three Messenger Services Deliver to a Small Town in Small

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Essay

Messenger Service ​
Three messenger services deliver to a small town in Oregon.Service A has 60% of all the scheduled deliveries,service B has 30%,and service C has the remaining 10%.Their on-time rates are 80%,60%,and 40% respectively.Define event O as a service delivers a package on time. ​ ​
-{Messenger Service Narrative} If a package was delivered 40 minutes late,what is the probability that it was service A?


Definitions:

Parallel

Existing or occurring at the same time without intersecting or directly affecting each other.

Serially

Pertaining to the sequential order in which items or events occur, one after the other.

Ecological Approach

An approach to the study of cognition emphasizing the natural contexts or settings in which cognitive activities occur and the influences such settings have on the ways cognitive activities are acquired, practiced, and executed.

Anthropology

The study of humans, human behavior, and societies in the past and present, focusing on cultural, social, and physical aspects.

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