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The time-series model yt = Tt×Ct×St×Rt is used for forecasting,where Tt,Ct,St,and Rt are respectively the trend,cyclical,seasonal,and random variation components of the time series,and yt is the value of the time series at time t.The following estimates are obtained: = 120,
= 1.02,
= 0.95,and
= 0.90.The model will produce a forecast of:
Error Term
The difference between observed values and estimated values in a statistical model.
Multicollinearity
A statistical phenomenon where two or more predictor variables in a multiple regression model are highly correlated, potentially distorting estimates.
Correlation Coefficient
The correlation coefficient is a statistical measure that calculates the strength and direction of the relationship between two variables, ranging from -1 to 1.
Variance Inflation Factor
A measure of how much the variance of an estimated regression coefficient increases if your predictors are correlated.
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