Container Company ​

question 95

Essay

Container Company ​
A company must decide whether or not to change its packaging to a more environmentally safe material.The impact of the decision on profits depends on which of the following three possible scenarios develops in the future. ​ Scenario 1: The media does not focus heavily on concerns about packaging and no new laws requiring changes in packaging are passed.Under this scenario,the company will make $35 million if they change their packaging now,but will make $75 million if they do not change their packaging now. ​ Scenario 2: The media does focus heavily on concerns about packaging and no new laws requiring changes in packaging are passed.Under this scenario,the company will make $50 million if they change their packaging now,but will make $55 million if they do not change their packaging now. ​ Scenario 3: The media does focus heavily on concerns about packaging and new laws requiring changes in packaging are passed.Under this scenario,the company will make $60 million if they change their packaging now,but will make only $15 million if they do not change their packaging now. ​ The prior probabilities of the three scenarios are 0.3,0.5,and 0.2,respectively. ​ ​
-{Container Company Narrative} Which decision has the minimum expected opportunity loss?

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Definitions:

Conduct Disorders

A group of behavioral and emotional problems in children and adolescents, characterized by aggression toward others, destruction of property, deceitfulness, or violation of rules.

Cross-Sectional Design

A type of observational study that analyzes data from a population, or a representative subset, at a specific point in time.

Locomotion

The ability to move from one place to another, which can be observed in all animals and involves processes such as walking, swimming, or flying.

Fear Of Heights

An anxiety disorder also known as acrophobia, characterized by an extreme and irrational fear of high places.