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Miranda Tosses a Fair Coin Consecutively Five Times and Gets

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Miranda tosses a fair coin consecutively five times and gets heads each time.When her son Shane asks her about the probability of getting tails on the next (sixth) toss,Miranda says the following: "This is a fair coin,so I should toss heads approximately 50 percent of the time.Because I have tossed heads 100 percent of the time for my first five tosses,then the probability of me tossing tails on the sixth toss must be greater than 50 percent." Miranda's statement is an example of the ________ fallacy.


Definitions:

Special Damages

Compensation for out-of-pocket expenses incurred as a result of an injury or other harm.

Slander

A form of defamation that involves making false and damaging spoken statements about someone.

Prove

The act of establishing the truth or validity of a statement or claim through evidence or argumentation.

Defamation

The act of damaging someone's reputation by making false and harmful statements.

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