The Alternatives 1 and 2 in the Following Payoff Table

question 105

Short Answer

The alternatives 1 and 2 in the following payoff table represent the two possible manufacturing strategies that the EKA manufacturing company can adopt.The level of demand affects the success of both strategies.The states of nature (S_i)represent the levels of demand for the company products.S₁,S₂ and S₃ characterize high,medium,and low demand,respectively.The payoff values are in thousands of dollars. $$\begin{array} { l c c c } & { \text { States of nature } } \\& \mathrm { s } _ { 1 } & \mathrm {~s} _ { 2 } & \mathrm {~s} _ { 3 } \\\text { Alternative (strategy) 1 } & 10 & 80 & 70 \\\text { Alternative (strategy) 2 } & 60 & 120 & 50\end{array}$$ The management believes that the weather conditions significantly affect the level of demand.48 monthly sales reports are randomly selected.These monthly sales reports showed 15 months with high demand,28 months with medium demand,and 5 months with low demand.12 of the 15 months with high demand had favorable weather conditions.14 of the 28 months with medium demand had favorable weather conditions.Only 1 of the 5 months with low demand had favorable weather conditions.
-Construct the revised probability table for poor weather conditions and find the probability of high demand given that the weather conditions are poor.

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Definitions:

Increased Demand

A situation where the desire or need for a product or service grows, often leading to higher sales or consumption.

Pure Competition

A market structure characterized by a large number of small firms, a homogeneous product, and easy entry and exit from the market.

Long Run

A period in which all factors of production and costs are variable, enabling full adjustment to change.

Short Run

A period in which at least one input in the production process is fixed, and only some inputs can be adjusted by firms.