The Alternatives 1 and 2 in the Following Payoff Table

question 14

Short Answer

The alternatives 1 and 2 in the following payoff table represent the two possible manufacturing strategies that the EKA manufacturing company can adopt.The level of demand affects the success of both strategies.The states of nature (S_i)represent the levels of demand for the company products.S₁,S₂ and S₃ characterize high,medium,and low demand,respectively.The payoff values are in thousands of dollars. $$\begin{array} { l c c c } & { \text { States of nature } } \\& \mathrm { s } _ { 1 } & \mathrm {~s} _ { 2 } & \mathrm {~s} _ { 3 } \\\text { Alternative (strategy) 1 } & 10 & 80 & 70 \\\text { Alternative (strategy) 2 } & 60 & 120 & 50\end{array}$$ The management believes that the weather conditions significantly affect the level of demand.48 monthly sales reports are randomly selected.These monthly sales reports showed 15 months with high demand,28 months with medium demand,and 5 months with low demand.12 of the 15 months with high demand had favorable weather conditions.14 of the 28 months with medium demand had favorable weather conditions.Only 1 of the 5 months with low demand had favorable weather conditions.
-Construct the revised probability table for favorable weather conditions and find the probability of high demand given that the weather conditions are favorable.

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Definitions:

Credit Cards

Financial instruments issued by banks or financial institutions that allow cardholders to borrow funds with which to pay for goods and services with the obligation to pay back the borrowed money, plus any applicable interest.

Permanent Income Hypothesis

A theory suggesting that people's consumption choices are based on their long-term income expectations rather than their current income.

Induced Consumption

Consumer spending that increases as disposable income rises, and decreases as disposable income falls, unrelated to the level of interest rates.

Wealth Effect

The change in spending that accompanies a change in perceived wealth, typically when home values or investment portfolios increase.